- Stage 17: 4h 18' 50" (actual), 4h 32' 07" (prediction), 13' 17" slow (5.13% error)
As with Stage 16, I was slow on this stage. I am obviously much happier with a 5% error than yesterday's 16% error! Stage 16 is still a mystery to me. That stage was mostly uphill in the rain, and the winner's average speed beat every other stage winner's average speed (except that in the team time trial of Stage 2).
The Norwegian Edvald Boasson Hagen had the following average speed today:
- Stage 17: 11.53 m/s (25.6 mph)
Despite the near 50-km downhill near the end of today's stage, Hagen's average speed was nearly 10% less than Hushovd's Stage 16 average speed. Again, what happened on Stage 16?!? I welcome your thoughts in the comments.
Stage 18 has three monster climbs and two great downhill segments. By the time riders reach the end at Galibier / Serre-Chevalier, they will have gained 2.29 km (1.42 miles) of elevation from their starting point. Here is my Stage 18 prediction:
- Stage 18: 5h 51' 23" (prediction)
Can Thomas Voeckler hold the yellow jersey after tomorrow? It should be a wonderful climb to the finish line!