- Stage 14: 5h 13' 25" (actual), 5h 02' 45" (prediction), -10' 40" fast (-3.40% error)
Though thrilled with just a 3.4% error, I think my model was a tad fast because I did not add a "Gee, I'm tired on this third mountain stage in a row!" line to my code.
Here is what Jelle Vanendert was able to average for Stage 14:
- Stage 14: 8.96 m/s (20.0 mph)
Stage 15 will give the riders a little relief because it is mostly flat. Monday is a rest day. Here is my Stage 15 prediction:
- Stage 15: 4h 36' 38" (prediction)
Will riders be tired on Sunday? Will the ride into Montpellier be a relief for rider's looking forward to Monday's rest? I can't wait to see what happens!
After the Tour de France, I will be watching our US women's soccer team take on Japan in the World Cup final.