Primož Roglič simply owned the final 200 m of today's fourth stage of the Tour de France. He put himself in great position for the final sprint after great pacing in the stage. The image below shows Roglič just after he crossed the finish line.
What a gorgeous day for cycling! Our model was back on track today after cyclists opted for a leisurely bike ride yesterday. Check out how we did.
- Stage 04: 4h 07' 47" (actual), 4h 09' 28" (prediction), 01' 41" slow (0.68% error)
Now that's more like it! From the initial pace of the peloton to the final category-1 climb, our model matched today's cycling quite well. I always root for fast racing, but a tiny part of me wanted the cyclists to slow a bit in the final kilometre. I was yearning for perfection!
Roglič's average speed is given below.
- Stage 04: 10.80 m/s (38.86 kph or 24.15 mph)
That wasn't too shabby on a mostly uphill stage. Roglič leaped all the way up to third in the general classification, just 7 s behind Julian Alaphilippe.
Riders begin tomorrow's 183-km (114-mi) flat stage in the commune of Gap. They head west to the finish line in the commune of Privas. In contrast to today's stage, tomorrow's stage is mostly downhill. There are a couple of short category-4 climbs in the latter half of the stage, but racing has a chance to be fast tomorrow. Our prediction is given below.
- Stage 05: 4h 05' 44" (prediction)
Can we get under 1% error again? I hope so!
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