05 July 2012

Two in a row for Greipel!

André Greipel won his second straight stage of this year's Tour de France with a great sprint at the end.  Another big crash just a few kilometers from the finish line played a role.  Peter Sagan, winner of Stages 1 and 3, was among those involved in the crash.  Below is the comparison of how our prediction matched the reality of Stage 5.
  • Stage 5:  4h 41' 30" (actual), 4h 35' 16" (prediction), 6' 14" fast (-2.21% error)
I'll certainly take that error!  Greipel's average speed is given below.
  • Stage 5:  11.63 m/s (41.88 km/hr or 26.02 mph)
Tomorrow's stage is mostly flat and stretches east 207.5 km (128.9 miles) from the northern French commune of Épernay to the city of Metz, which is not far from where France meets Luxembourg and Germany.  Our prediction for tomorrow's Stage 6 is given below.
  • Stage 6:  4h 57' 12" (prediction)
A couple of medium-mountain stages follow tomorrow's stage.  Fabian Cancellara still possesses the yellow jersey.  Let's hope there are no more big crashes tomorrow!


  1. OK Eric, Nice prediction again...I still think the race will be a little faster for stage 6. With this being a flat stage, I think Mark Cavendish gets enough help to propel him to victory followed closely by Goss.

  2. Bob,

    Stage 6 was definetly faster than we thought it would be!