04 July 2012

Greipel Wins Stage 4!

German André Greipel just won Stage 4 of this year's Tour de France with a great sprint.  A huge crash happened a few kilometers from the finish line.  Below is a comparison of Greipel's winning time with our prediction.
  • Stage 4:  5h 18' 32" (actual), 5h 10' 00" (prediction), 8' 32" fast (-2.68% error)
Another prediction under 3% makes us happy!  Below is Greipel's average speed during his Stage 4 win.
  • Stage 4:  11.22 m/s (40.40 km/hr or 25.11 mph)
Tomorrow's flat Stage 5 picks up in Rouen and takes riders 196.5 km (122.1 miles) east to Saint-Quentin.  Below is our prediction.
  • Stage 5:  4h 35' 16" (prediction)
Fabian Cancellara, who escaped today's crash, maintains the yellow jersey.  Let's hope today's crash doesn't take anyone out of the race.  Mark Cavendish was involved in the crash, and tomorrow's Stage 5 is the kind of stage that Cavendish can win.


  1. Eric, another outstanding prediction for stage 4. I'm hoping that Alessandro Petacchi, another of my favorites steals the win from the Manx Missile, on this slight incline finish, in a time of 4h32m24".

    1. Bob,

      Too bad about all these crashes just about 3 km from the finish line. Your Petacchi pick wasn't bad as he got the winning time while finishing 8th.