I was again watching the race from home and I was yelping on my couch when cyclists were a few km away from the finish. We had another shot at perfection. Check out our prediction for today.
- Stage 05: 4h 48' 06" (actual), 4h 46' 53" (prediction), 01' 13" fast (-0.42% error)
For the second time in five stages, our error is 0.4%! I'm thrilled with how our model has performed over the first quarter of the Tour de France. Sagan averaged 42.59 kph (26.46 mph) during the nearly five hours he spent in the saddle.
Tomorrow's Stage 6 is another medium-mountain (or hilly) stage. The 181-km (112-mi) stage begins in Brest, which is about as far west as one can get in France. The commune of Mûr-de-Bretagne is where the stage ends. Cyclists will have one category-4 climb and three category-3 climbs. Our prediction is below.
- Stage 06: 4h 06' 24" (prediction)
Will Sagan win another stage or settle for second place? Or will someone else rise up tomorrow? I can't wait to watch it!
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