06 July 2023

Pogačar's Attack Gives Him Stage 6!

Tadej Pogačar bided his time behind Jonas Vingegaard and Wout van Aert, who did yeoman's work in keeping Vingegaard in contention for the stage win.  With just 2.7 km (1.7 mi) left, Pogačar attacked and Vingegaard couldn't keep up.  Vengegaard is now in yellow, but Pogačar is only 25" back.  Check out Pogačar winning today's stage.
We did a little better today, but an added amount of power based on yesterday's stage proved to be a colossal mistake.  Such is modeling!
  • Stage 06:  3h 54' 27" (actual), 3h 46' 03" (prediction), 08' 24" fast (-3.58% error)
Pogačar's average speed was impressive, but it wasn't blistering.
  • Stage 06:  10.30 m/s (37.08 kph or 23.04 mph)
Tomorrow's 169.9-km (105.6-mi) stage is quite flat.  Riders begin in the commune of Mont-de-Marsan and head north to Bordeaux.  After stages 3 and 4, I'm rather apprehensive about tomorrow's prediction!  But it's time to forge ahead.
  • Stage 07:  3h 47' 15" (prediction)
Will there be any breakaways by riders who yearn for a stage win?  Or will cyclists play it safe like they did in stage 4?  It will be interesting to see!

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