17 July 2019

Ewan Out-Sprints Groenewegen for Stage 11 Win!

Though the stage wasn't quite as fast as I thought it could be, Stage 11 gave fans yet another great day of Tour de France racing.  Aussie Caleb Ewan just barely finished ahead of Dylan Groenewegen for the stage win (click on image for a larger view).
I was a split second early with my screen capture, but you can see Ewan in read and white leaning just ahead of Groenewegen in yellow and black.  See how our predication fared.
  • Stage 11:  3h 51' 26" (actual), 3h 39' 54" (prediction), 11' 32" fast (-4.98% error)
I thought we'd be a bit closer, but racing in the first half of the stage was slower than I anticipated.  But check out Ewan's average speed.
  • Stage 11:  12.03 m/s (43.30 kph or 26.90 mph)
Not too shabby!  I suspect the cyclists will be somewhat rested for tomorrow's Stage 12, which is a 209.5-km (130.2-mi) long mountain stage.  Picking up in Toulouse, where Stage 11 ended, cyclists will travel southwest into the Pyrenees.  Category-1 climbs up Col de Peyresourde and La Hourquette d'Ancizan will highlight the stage.  The stage ends with what could be a ferocious downhill sprint into Bagnères-de-Bigorre.  Our prediction is given below.
  • Stage 12:  5h 23' 17" (prediction)
I'm anxious to see the world's best cyclists climb those two mountains tomorrow.  Will there be a shakeup in the general classification?

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