After three consecutive second place stage finishes, Wout van Aert blasted his way to victory in today's Stage 4. He and his Team Jumbo Visma mates went for it with about 12 km (7.5 mi) left in the stage. They powered their way up the final climb and van Aert took over the final 10 km (6.2 mi).
Van Aert was 8 s ahead of the peloton. He was very happy! I am happy, too, after watching a stage raced on what looked to be a beautiful day in northeastern France. I got even happier when I saw how our prediction fared.
- Stage 4: 4h 01' 36" (actual), 3h 59' 04" (prediction), 02' 32" fast (-1.05% error)
I thought we could be a bit slow today, but we did well. Check out van Aert's average speed.
- Stage 4: 11.83 m/s (42.59 kph or 26.46 mph)
Not too shabby!
Tomorrow's 157-km (97.6-mi) hilly Stage 5 begins in Lille and ends to the southeast in Trouée d'Arenberg. Our prediction is given below.
- Stage 5: 3h 31' 36" (prediction)
Wout van Aert has been the dominant rider for the first four stages. Will he have the yellow jersey after tomorrow? I cannot model team strategies because I do not have access to those strategies -- obviously. With tomorrow's stage being relatively short in length, our prediction could be too slow. We've had four great predictions, but I keep waiting for the blisteringly-fast stage that happens every year.
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