17 July 2022

Jasper Philipsen Wins Sprint to take Stage 15!

I was rooting hard for Benjamin Thomas to hold off the peloton and win a stage for France.  But, alas, Thomas was caught with half a kilometer left and finished 24" behind the winner.  Jasper Philipsen crossed the line first, just a tiny bit ahead of Wout van Aert.
Philipsen is on the right; van Aert is on the left in the green jersey, a jersey he'll lose only via catastrophe.  As for our prediction, I was rooting for perfection!
  • Stage 15:  4h 27' 27" (actual), 4h 26' 56" (prediction), 00' 31" fast (-0.19% error)
We can't do much better than that!  Philipsen's average speed is given below.
  • Stage 15:  12.62 m/s (45.43 kph or 28.23 mph)
Riders will stay in Carcassonne tonight and during tomorrow's rest day.  Tuesday's 178.5-km (110.9-mi) medium mountain stage will take riders southwest to the French commune of Foix.  Our prediction is given below.
  • Stage 16:  4h 18' 22" (prediction)
I can't wait to see if the yellow jersey swaps cyclists again.  The above prediction is fast, which can happen if the top GC contenders attack the yellow jersey hard on Tuesday.

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