22 July 2023

Pogačar Outsprints Vingegaard to Win Stage 20!

Tadej Pogačar won his second stage in this year's Tour de France by outsprinting Jonas Vingegaard in the final hundred meters.  It was great watching Pogačar and Vingegaard ride together through the difficult mountain stage.  And it was wonderful seeing Pogačar get the stage win as a nice consolation to finishing second in the GC.  Pogačar certainly looked thrilled crossing the finish line.

Besides being happy with the penultimate stage action, I'm quite happy with a near-perfect prediction today.
  • Stage 20:  3h 27' 18" (actual), 3h 27' 04" (prediction), 00' 14" fast (-0.11% error)
My model seemed to be firing on all cylinders today.  Check out Pogačar's average speed.
  • Stage 20:  10.73 m/s (38.64 kph or 24.01 mph)
Tomorrow's ceremonial 115.1-km (71.52-mi) flat stage begins in Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines and takes riders east into Paris and onto the famed Champs-Élysées.  It will be a day to celebrate Jonas Vingegaard winning his second straight Tour de France.  And it will be a day to see which sprinter earns the famed Parisian stage win.  Our prediction is given below.
  • Stage 21:  2h 45' 23" (prediction)
Hard to believe the Tour de France finish is already upon us!

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