01 July 2023

Adam Yates Takes the First Stage!

Jumbo-Visma did a lot of work today, but it was the UAE team that got today's first win of the Tour de France.  It was not Tadej Pogačar, who finished third, but Adam Yates who won the day.  Check out Yates crossing the finish line from the screen capture I grabbed.
What was really cool about the end of the race is that Adam's twin brother Simon was with him heading toward the finish; Simon is seen above coming in second.

Now it's time to check on this year's first prediction.
  • Stage 01:  4h 22' 49" (actual), 4h 21' 07" (prediction), 01' 42" fast (-0.65% error)
What a great start!  But it's woefully early in the Tour de France, and as the great Han Solo once said, "Don't get cocky!"  I've seen plenty of great predictions in past years get forgotten quickly after some terrible predictions.  The goal is to learn and improve our scientific understanding of cycling at the highest level.  Check out the average speed for Adam Yates below.
  • Stage 01:  11.54 m/s (41.55 kph or 25.82 mph)
Tomorrow's second stage begins in the northcentral Spanish city of Vitoria-Gasteiz and takes riders northeast to the coastal city of San Sebastián.  The 208.9-km (129.8-mi) medium-mountain stage is this year's longest stage.  Our prediction is given below.
  • Stage 02:  4h 50' 52" (prediction)
A short category-2 climb awaits cyclists near the end of tomorrow's stage.  It will be interesting to see how the pace is set early on.

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