- Stage 5: 5h 31' 51" (actual), 5h 32' 02" (prediction), 0' 11" slow (0.06% error)
I am very pleased with our prediction! We slightly underestimated power output and technological advances in yesterday's team time trial. Today, we had a great feeling for how the long, flat stage would go. Below is Cavendish's average speed.
- Stage 5: 11.48 m/s (41.31 kph or 25.67 mph)
That is an impressive average for such a long time on a bicycle. Those Tour de France athletes are something special!
Tomorrow's Stage 6 is another flat stage. It starts in Aix-en-Provence and takes riders due west nearly along the southern coast of France to Montpellier. Shorter than today's stage, Stage 6 is 176.5 km (109.7 mi) long with one category-4 climb just over one third of the way in. Our prediction is given below.
- Stage 6: 4h 05' 47" (prediction)
Will weather play a role as riders are going to be close to the coast? Will riders be thinking ahead to Stage 7 and its four category-ranked climbs? Or will someone have the best day of his life and come in under four hours? Team Orica-GreenEDGE should be safe after tomorrow. Simon Gerrans maintains the yellow jersey today, and will probably have it after tomorrow's stage.