Traveling over the weekend meant I couldn't watch the Tour de France. I did, however, notice that our predictions for the first two stages were quite nice. Below is a quick summary.
- Stage 1: 4h 39' 05" (actual), 4h 36' 19" (prediction), 02' 46" fast (-0.99% error)
- Stage 2: 4h 18' 30" (actual), 4h 17' 14" (prediction), 01' 16" fast (-0.49% error)
Not too bad for the first two stages! I'll have to watch them on replay at some point in the future to see if I can understand what we did well with our model.
Today's Stage 3 was marred by several bad crashes. Even the last sprint was tough to watch as Tim Merlier claimed victory.
We were a little slower today with our prediction, but we still came close to Merlier's actual winning time.
- Stage 3: 4h 01' 28" (actual), 4h 07' 58" (prediction), 06' 30" slow (2.69% error)
The crashes will take some of the deserved headlines away from Merlier, who cycled great today in winning his first Tour de France stage. Check out his average speed.
- Stage 3: 12.62 m/s (45.45 kph or 28.24 mph)
- Stage 4: 3h 23' 45" (prediction)
I certainly hope there are no crashes tomorrow! If we miss much tomorrow, I think we'll be slow. But then again, cyclists may conserve a little for the next day's individual time trial.
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