16 July 2022

Michael Matthews Dominates Breakaway!

Michael Matthews outdueled Alberto Bettiol on the final climb of today's Tour de France stage.  It looked as if Matthews had cracked at one point, but he picked the perfect moment to attack Bettiol.  And then he had plenty of time to celebrate on the way to the finish line.
It was funny watching Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard ride with each other on the way to the line.  Why sprint in the final 300 m?

We had another great prediction today.
  • Stage 14:  4h 30' 53" (actual), 4h 32' 29" (prediction), 01' 36" slow (0.59% error)
Same error as yesterday, just in the other direction.  Check out the average speed for Matthews.
  • Stage 14:  11.84 m/s (42.64 kph or 26.49 mph)
Tomorrow's 202.5-km (125.8-mi) flat stage begins in Rodez and takes riders south to Carcassonne.  Our prediction is given below.
  • Stage 15:  4h 26' 56" (prediction)
If tomorrow's stage is like the Danish stages, we'll be too fast.  If it's like the first few French stages, we'll be too slow.  Will the yellow jersey have a break before Monday's rest day?  Will a breakaway group fight for the stage win?

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